Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000615 0.000698 0.000786 0.000886 0.000995 0.001112 0.001245
2026-01-18 0.000480 0.000594 0.000723 0.000877 0.001058 0.001261 0.001506
2026-01-25 0.000415 0.000543 0.000695 0.000885 0.001116 0.001384 0.001717
2026-02-01 0.000361 0.000498 0.000667 0.000886 0.001160 0.001488 0.001907
2026-02-08 0.000307 0.000446 0.000623 0.000860 0.001165 0.001540 0.002030
2026-02-15 0.000266 0.000404 0.000586 0.000839 0.001172 0.001592 0.002151
2026-02-22 0.000237 0.000376 0.000565 0.000834 0.001198 0.001664 0.002299
2026-03-01 0.000213 0.000352 0.000547 0.000832 0.001225 0.001739 0.002450
2026-03-08 0.000190 0.000327 0.000525 0.000821 0.001238 0.001795 0.002575
2026-03-15 0.000169 0.000303 0.000502 0.000807 0.001246 0.001841 0.002688
2026-03-22 0.000159 0.000296 0.000503 0.000827 0.001302 0.001954 0.002893
2026-03-29 0.000149 0.000286 0.000499 0.000839 0.001345 0.002049 0.003075
2026-04-05 0.000134 0.000268 0.000483 0.000832 0.001361 0.002108 0.003212
2026-04-12 0.000121 0.000252 0.000467 0.000824 0.001375 0.002165 0.003345
2026-04-19 0.000112 0.000242 0.000461 0.000831 0.001412 0.002254 0.003526
2026-04-26 0.000103 0.000231 0.000452 0.000832 0.001438 0.002328 0.003686
2026-05-03 0.000091 0.000212 0.000427 0.000807 0.001423 0.002340 0.003757
2026-05-10 0.000080 0.000196 0.000407 0.000787 0.001414 0.002361 0.003840
2026-05-17 0.000073 0.000185 0.000396 0.000782 0.001429 0.002417 0.003976
2026-05-24 0.000067 0.000177 0.000387 0.000781 0.001449 0.002480 0.004122
2026-05-31 0.000061 0.000166 0.000374 0.000770 0.001453 0.002520 0.004234
2026-06-07 0.000054 0.000155 0.000359 0.000757 0.001452 0.002551 0.004333
2026-06-14 0.000052 0.000154 0.000363 0.000776 0.001506 0.002669 0.004568